Will Auburn Wreck the BCS Party?

Will Auburn Wreck the BCS Party?

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The stage is set: Alabama and Florida State will clash this Jan. for the national championship. That stage, however, may become wrecked as both the Crimson Tide and the Seminoles have important games to play before they’re officially tabbed to play for the BCS title game.

For Alabama, its greatest challenge of the season will take place this Saturday afternoon when its instate archival, Auburn, plays host. The Tigers are 10-1, ranked No. 4, and are in an excellent position to win this year’s Iron Bowl.

Iron Bowl Significance

It is a game that few expected to have the significance that it now has when the season started. Or even last week when the Tigers blew a 20-point lead against Georgia by rallying in the final 25 seconds to pull out the win. Now, Auburn is in a position to play for the national championship provided that they upset Alabama and win the SEC championship a week later.

Auburn, of course, will have to leap past undefeated Ohio State to move up in the rankings. Ohio State is ranked No. 3 and has the same 11-0 record as No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Florida State. But the Buckeyes may not be perceived as BCS material as its schedule has included games against just two ranked Big Ten teams.

Alabama has beaten three ranked teams thus far as has Florida State, with the Tide having to navigate a nearly impossible SEC schedule to stay perfect. Florida State, in the supposedly weaker ACC, has managed to demolish everyone, fielding the second highest scoring offense and the second best defense in the nation to earn its No. 2 ranking.

BCS Computer Poll

The BCS computer poll, what ultimately decides who gets to play in the title game, would most likely rank a 12-1 Auburn team ahead of a 13-0 Ohio State, based on the Tigers beating Alabama and Missouri to win the SEC. Ohio State faithful will most certainly cry foul, but they won’t be able to do anything about it. That’s why a new postseason four-team playoff has been adopted, to ensure that the top also rans get a chance to qualify for the BCS title game.

Florida State should beat Florida this Saturday, but the Seminoles know not to take the Gators lightly. Last week, Georgia Southern stunned Florida, the first time that the Gators lost to a FCS team. The Gators have nothing to lose and much pride to gain by showing up against Florida State. Likely, the Seminoles will roll and face surprising Duke for the ACC championship on Dec. 7.

An Unlikely Scenario

Wouldn’t it be something if both Alabama and Florida State lose, perhaps creating an Ohio State-Auburn national championship match up in Jan.? Even Missouri still has a shot at the title game, but its chances likely hinge on Alabama, Florida State and Ohio State losing, a scenario that seems unlikely even as other top teams such as Baylor, Oregon and Stanford have eliminated themselves from contention.

See AlsoStanford Eliminates Self From National Title Consideration

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Categories: NCAA Football